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Nuance Communications (NUAN - 29.31) received a price-target hike to $34 from $22 and an upgrade to "buy" from "hold" at ThinkEquity yesterday, which may have sparked some bullish activity in the options pits. Nearly 13,100 calls crossed the tape on Monday, which was almost triple the software firm's average daily volume. Most popular among traders were the February 35 and March 35 strikes, where over 8,400 of these calls changed hands -- most of them at the ask price, suggesting they were bought. Meanwhile, open interest at these strikes soared overnight, signaling the opening of new positions.
Digging deeper into the data, it appears that a block of 206 calls was sold at the March 31 strike, while an equal number of calls were purchased at the April 31 strike. This activity implies the initiation of a long calendar spread. By using this strategy, the trader is betting that the stock will finish at or just below $31 by March expiration. At that point, he has one of two choices: Pocket the premium received from the nearer-term call -- and either hold or sell the longer-term call, which still holds time value; or, exit his position before back-month options expire, capping his risk to the net debit of 40 cents per pair of contracts.
This affinity for calls over puts is par for the course on NUAN. In fact, data from the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) reveals a 10-day call/put volume ratio of 15.80 for the equity. In other words, calls bought to open have outnumbered puts by nearly 16 to one during the past two weeks. This ratio ranks in the 77th percentile of its annual range, confirming that traders have been snapping up bullish options over bearish at a faster-than-usual pace.
It bears mentioning, however, that short interest on NUAN skyrocketed by 31.75% during the past two reporting periods, and now represents a healthy 6.1% of the equity's float. This raises the possibility that some of the recent call volume is the result of hedging activity by short sellers.
Technically speaking, NUAN has added roughly 17% year-to-date, and has outpaced the broader S&P 500 Index (SPX) by close to 13% during the past 40 sessions. On the charts, the stock continues to enjoy support at its 10-week moving average, which has provided a floor for the stock since mid-September.
It should also be noted that NUAN is scheduled to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings after Thursday's closing bell, and has bested analysts' bottom-line estimates in three of the past four quarters. Despite another price-target hike to $36 from $29 at Brigantine this morning, the equity remains nearly flat with yesterday's close of $29.31.
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